Scouting Report
Johan Franzen holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Franzen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Franzen 52.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 54.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Stepan
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stepan
Franzen
Last 8: Stepan 4-4 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
0
2
Stepan
Franzen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Franzen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Franzen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
52.3% (149)
-8.5%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
54.3% (70)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
50.0% (6)
-6.8%
On even strength, Franzen has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Franzen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Stepan
Franzen
Home
47.8% (828)
54.7% (150)
Away
42.0% (684)
49.3% (75)
By Period
Stepan
Franzen
P1
49.5%
57.8%
P2
42.0%
52.6%
P3
44.3%
48.6%
OT
41.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |