Scouting Report
Johan Franzen holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Franzen 49.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 62.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 67.8%
Neutral zone
Franzen 51.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Stepan
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stepan
Franzen
Last 8: Stepan 4-4 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
0
2
Stepan
Franzen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Franzen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Franzen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.5% (464)
-2.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.0% (149)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.9% (14)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Franzen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Stepan
Franzen
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.1% (368)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
45.6% (261)
By Period
Stepan
Franzen
P1
47.5%
51.9%
P2
45.6%
50.0%
P3
46.8%
43.5%
OT
40.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |