Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Mitchell 54.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 74.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 83.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 83.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Stepan
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stepan
Mitchell
Last 6: Stepan 4-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
55.7% (485)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
58.3% (12)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
51.2% (41)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Stepan
Mitchell
Home
46.4% (774)
61.9% (265)
Away
47.7% (748)
49.1% (273)
By Period
Stepan
Mitchell
P1
46.7%
54.9%
P2
46.3%
56.8%
P3
48.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |