Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 54.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 80.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 72.2%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Stepan
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Stepan
Mitchell
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
2
Stepan
Mitchell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
2
Stepan
Mitchell
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Stepan
Mitchell
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.8% (2,965)
-5.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.1% (196)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.1% (401)
+0.1%
On power play, Mitchell has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Stepan
Mitchell
Home
47.6% (6,608)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Stepan
Mitchell
P1
47.5%
52.0%
P2
45.6%
49.9%
P3
46.8%
50.9%
OT
40.7%
69.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |