Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Jokinen 54.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 72.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 76.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Stepan
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Stepan
Jokinen
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
5
Stepan
Jokinen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
8
Stepan
Jokinen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
5
Stepan
Jokinen
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
53.8% (1,931)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
55.9% (506)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
54.5% (279)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jokinen
Home
47.6% (6,608)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Stepan
Jokinen
P1
47.5%
53.4%
P2
45.6%
54.4%
P3
46.8%
53.7%
OT
40.7%
66.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |