Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Aucoin 48.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 55.2%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 56.8%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 55.6%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Stepan
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stepan
Aucoin
Last 5: Stepan 4-1 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Aucoin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Aucoin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
47.8% (448)
-1.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.8% (31)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
75.0% (4)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Aucoin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Stepan
Aucoin
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.6% (215)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Stepan
Aucoin
P1
47.5%
45.8%
P2
45.6%
49.2%
P3
46.8%
51.9%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |