Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Porter 41.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 88.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 80.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Stepan
Porter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Stepan
Porter
Last 9: Stepan 7-2 Porter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Porter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
1
Stepan
Porter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Porter
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
39.2% (469)
+7.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
55.6% (18)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
36.2% (47)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Porter shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Stepan
Porter
Home
47.6% (6,608)
41.6% (274)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
37.3% (260)
By Period
Stepan
Porter
P1
47.5%
37.1%
P2
45.6%
44.9%
P3
46.8%
36.7%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |