Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Brodziak 51.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 88.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 64.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Stepan
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Stepan
Brodziak
Last 9: Stepan 2-7 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Stepan
Brodziak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
5
Stepan
Brodziak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
53.1% (808)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
50.0% (10)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
47.0% (149)
+0.2%
On even strength, Brodziak has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Brodziak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brodziak
Home
48.2% (761)
56.6% (477)
Away
47.3% (789)
47.8% (490)
By Period
Stepan
Brodziak
P1
46.3%
54.1%
P2
50.4%
55.5%
P3
46.3%
47.0%
OT
55.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |