Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 83.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 64.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Stepan
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Stepan
Brodziak
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
4
Stepan
Brodziak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
7
Stepan
Brodziak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
3
Stepan
Brodziak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.5% (6,432)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.8% (326)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
45.5% (1,344)
-1.3%
On even strength, Brodziak has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brodziak
Home
47.6% (6,608)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Stepan
Brodziak
P1
47.5%
49.2%
P2
45.6%
50.7%
P3
46.8%
49.5%
OT
40.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |