Scouting Report
Kyle Okposo holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Okposo 48.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 65.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Stepan
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stepan
Okposo
Last 7: Stepan 1-6 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
3
Stepan
Okposo
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Okposo
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
2
Stepan
Okposo
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
50.0% (98)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
42.9% (42)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
50.0% (2)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Okposo has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Stepan is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Stepan shoots right. Okposo is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Stepan
Okposo
Home
45.6% (463)
49.2% (63)
Away
43.3% (404)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Stepan
Okposo
P1
50.2%
37.9%
P2
39.4%
57.4%
P3
45.7%
46.2%
OT
38.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | OT | 01:26 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |