Scouting Report
Kyle Okposo holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Okposo 48.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Okposo leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Stepan
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Stepan
Okposo
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
5
Stepan
Okposo
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
4
5
Stepan
Okposo
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
2
Stepan
Okposo
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.1% (1,513)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.1% (391)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
39.7% (151)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Okposo is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Stepan
Okposo
Home
47.6% (6,608)
50.2% (990)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.1% (1,065)
By Period
Stepan
Okposo
P1
47.5%
48.8%
P2
45.6%
49.6%
P3
46.8%
47.3%
OT
40.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | OT | 01:26 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |