Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stepan wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Turris 49.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 23-10 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 69.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 69.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Stepan
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
23
(33 meetings)
10
23
Stepan
Turris
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
7
Stepan
Turris
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
4
9
Stepan
Turris
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
5
7
Stepan
Turris
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
50.3% (648)
-2.3%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
41.1% (151)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
52.1% (121)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Stepan is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Stepan shoots right. Turris is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Stepan
Turris
Home
47.4% (460)
51.4% (453)
Away
44.5% (517)
46.7% (467)
By Period
Stepan
Turris
P1
50.3%
50.7%
P2
38.4%
50.5%
P3
49.4%
45.6%
OT
27.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |