Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (66% H2H, 41 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Turris 50.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 67-46 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 77.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 73.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 77.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Stepan
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
67
(113 meetings)
46
67
Stepan
Turris
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
14
24
Stepan
Turris
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
18
16
Stepan
Turris
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
14
27
Stepan
Turris
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.2% (7,653)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.4% (1,312)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.6% (580)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Turris is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Stepan
Turris
Home
47.6% (6,608)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Stepan
Turris
P1
47.5%
51.5%
P2
45.6%
50.8%
P3
46.8%
48.4%
OT
40.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |