Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 56 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 72-37 in 109 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 94.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 87.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 93.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Stepan
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
72
(109 meetings)
37
72
Stepan
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
48
Stepan
Draisaitl
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
18
9
Stepan
Draisaitl
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
11
15
Stepan
Draisaitl
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
52.9% (10,240)
-6.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
55.7% (2,827)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
51.2% (977)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Stepan
Draisaitl
Home
47.6% (6,608)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Stepan
Draisaitl
P1
47.5%
52.7%
P2
45.6%
53.6%
P3
46.8%
53.4%
OT
40.7%
57.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |