Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Stepan
Draisaitl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
52.6% (1,124)
+1.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.4% (344)
-58.4%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
49.2% (193)
+15.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Stepan
Draisaitl
Home
54.5% (222)
55.5% (816)
Away
57.2% (222)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Stepan
Draisaitl
P1
57.5%
51.1%
P2
54.7%
51.6%
P3
55.9%
56.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%