Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Draisaitl 50.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 69.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 78.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Stepan
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Stepan
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
10
Stepan
Draisaitl
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
0
Stepan
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
6
Stepan
Draisaitl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
51.5% (931)
-4.7%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
48.2% (282)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
48.8% (127)
-0.5%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Draisaitl is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Stepan
Draisaitl
Home
48.6% (666)
51.3% (637)
Away
46.1% (710)
49.8% (703)
By Period
Stepan
Draisaitl
P1
46.3%
50.3%
P2
50.7%
47.4%
P3
45.5%
53.2%
OT
39.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | OT | 02:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2019 | OT | 02:16 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |