Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Draisaitl 55.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 77.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 83.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 83.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Stepan
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Stepan
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
7
Stepan
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
3
Stepan
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Stepan
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
54.8% (675)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
60.2% (266)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
48.9% (90)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Stepan shoots right. Draisaitl is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Stepan
Draisaitl
Home
46.0% (113)
57.3% (525)
Away
53.1% (147)
54.0% (506)
By Period
Stepan
Draisaitl
P1
48.5%
56.1%
P2
49.4%
54.5%
P3
52.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |