Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Brown 40.3% (+19.8%)
Offensive zone
Brown 55.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 74.4%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Stepan
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
35.7% (154)
+19.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
23.1% (13)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Brown is 27.1% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brown
Home
57.7% (213)
39.7% (73)
Away
50.7% (209)
30.5% (95)
By Period
Stepan
Brown
P1
56.3%
30.4%
P2
48.9%
39.7%
P3
57.1%
32.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%