Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Letestu 54.8% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 86.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 89.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Stepan
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Stepan
Letestu
Last 8: Stepan 0-8 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
5
Stepan
Letestu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
3
Stepan
Letestu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
55.6% (613)
-17.0%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
53.4% (103)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
60.0% (10)
-37.3%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Stepan is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Stepan shoots right. Letestu is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Stepan
Letestu
Home
39.0% (364)
57.5% (393)
Away
38.0% (355)
53.1% (341)
By Period
Stepan
Letestu
P1
39.4%
53.3%
P2
40.6%
59.8%
P3
36.4%
53.0%
OT
12.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |