Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Letestu 52.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 32-16 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 88.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 90.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 90.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Stepan
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
32
(48 meetings)
16
32
Stepan
Letestu
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
7
Stepan
Letestu
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
17
Stepan
Letestu
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
8
Stepan
Letestu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
53.3% (4,565)
-6.8%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
56.0% (687)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.2% (1,005)
+0.0%
On power play, Letestu has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Stepan
Letestu
Home
47.6% (6,608)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Stepan
Letestu
P1
47.5%
51.5%
P2
45.6%
55.0%
P3
46.8%
49.8%
OT
40.7%
51.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |