Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Letestu 52.5% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 58.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 85.9%
Neutral zone
Letestu 85.8%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Stepan
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stepan
Letestu
Last 8: Stepan 5-3 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
2
Stepan
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
55.5% (488)
-12.0%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
46.7% (15)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
41.0% (100)
+2.0%
On even strength, Letestu has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Letestu is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Stepan
Letestu
Home
45.6% (629)
55.9% (297)
Away
42.5% (603)
50.0% (306)
By Period
Stepan
Letestu
P1
44.7%
49.2%
P2
43.7%
55.4%
P3
43.9%
53.4%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | OT | 03:41 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |