Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stepan wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Letestu 50.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 88.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 65.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 71.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Stepan
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stepan
Letestu
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Letestu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
5
Stepan
Letestu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Stepan
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
50.9% (582)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
56.8% (125)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
45.0% (189)
-7.1%
On power play, Letestu has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Stepan is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Stepan shoots right. Letestu is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Stepan
Letestu
Home
46.4% (774)
48.5% (423)
Away
47.7% (748)
52.2% (473)
By Period
Stepan
Letestu
P1
46.7%
54.0%
P2
46.3%
50.5%
P3
48.1%
46.9%
OT
47.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |