Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 38-15 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 85.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 85.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 91.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Stepan
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
38
(53 meetings)
15
38
Stepan
Hanzal
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
6
12
Stepan
Hanzal
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
5
19
Stepan
Hanzal
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
4
7
Stepan
Hanzal
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
54.0% (5,547)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
56.7% (1,179)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
46.0% (644)
-1.8%
On power play, Hanzal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Stepan
Hanzal
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Stepan
Hanzal
P1
47.5%
54.9%
P2
45.6%
53.6%
P3
46.8%
52.4%
OT
40.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |