Derek Stepan vs Mathieu Perreault
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Perreault 46.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 69.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Stepan
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Perreault
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
4
Stepan
Perreault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
45.6% (261)
-7.0%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
48.6% (35)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
0.0% (2)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Stepan shoots right. Perreault is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Stepan
Perreault
Home
39.0% (364)
42.3% (156)
Away
38.0% (355)
49.0% (149)
By Period
Stepan
Perreault
P1
39.4%
48.6%
P2
40.6%
42.7%
P3
36.4%
44.9%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2011 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 12, 2010 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |