Derek Stepan vs Mathieu Perreault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Perreault 50.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Perreault leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 69.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 69.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Stepan
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Stepan
Perreault
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
4
Stepan
Perreault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Stepan
Perreault
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
3
6
Stepan
Perreault
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.7% (2,465)
-4.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.2% (454)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.0% (25)
+0.2%
On even strength, Perreault has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Perreault is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,146).
Home / Away
Stepan
Perreault
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.1% (1,474)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.6% (1,482)
By Period
Stepan
Perreault
P1
47.5%
52.4%
P2
45.6%
48.6%
P3
46.8%
51.8%
OT
40.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |