Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Cullen 53.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 29-14 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 91.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 90.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 92.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Stepan
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
29
(43 meetings)
14
29
Stepan
Cullen
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
9
4
Stepan
Cullen
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
14
Stepan
Cullen
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
11
Stepan
Cullen
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
54.8% (5,371)
-8.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.3% (421)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.0% (953)
-3.8%
On even strength, Cullen has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Stepan
Cullen
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Stepan
Cullen
P1
47.5%
54.7%
P2
45.6%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
53.3%
OT
40.7%
62.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |