Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Beniers 42.9% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 65.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 81.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 79.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Stepan
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stepan
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
42.3% (879)
+13.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
40.3% (72)
-40.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
44.4% (18)
+6.4%
On power play, Beniers has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Stepan
Beniers
Home
57.7% (213)
43.8% (495)
Away
50.7% (209)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Stepan
Beniers
P1
56.3%
43.3%
P2
48.9%
45.6%
P3
57.1%
38.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |