Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 89.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 73.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Stepan
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stepan
Lapierre
Last 6: Stepan 1-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
2
Stepan
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Stepan
Lapierre
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
2
Stepan
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
52.9% (2,085)
-6.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
53.1% (32)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
43.1% (415)
+1.1%
On even strength, Lapierre has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Stepan
Lapierre
Home
47.6% (6,608)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Stepan
Lapierre
P1
47.5%
52.5%
P2
45.6%
50.7%
P3
46.8%
51.1%
OT
40.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |