Derek Stepan vs Mikhail Grabovski
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Grabovski 51.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 68.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 67.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Stepan
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Grabovski
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Grabovski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
1
Stepan
Grabovski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
3
Stepan
Grabovski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
50.6% (786)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
61.2% (85)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
52.6% (19)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Grabovski has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Grabovski is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Stepan
Grabovski
Home
45.6% (463)
51.5% (497)
Away
43.3% (404)
51.5% (408)
By Period
Stepan
Grabovski
P1
50.2%
47.7%
P2
39.4%
52.5%
P3
45.7%
54.1%
OT
38.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |