Derek Stepan vs Mikhail Grabovski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Grabovski 50.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Grabovski leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 64.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 68.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Stepan
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
21
(34 meetings)
13
21
Stepan
Grabovski
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
4
8
Stepan
Grabovski
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
2
Stepan
Grabovski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
2
11
Stepan
Grabovski
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.0% (3,443)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.1% (459)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
45.2% (104)
-1.0%
On even strength, Grabovski has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Grabovski is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,443).
Home / Away
Stepan
Grabovski
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.0% (2,090)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.3% (1,966)
By Period
Stepan
Grabovski
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
45.6%
49.9%
P3
46.8%
50.6%
OT
40.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |