Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 37-31 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 84.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 72.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Stepan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
31
(68 meetings)
37
31
Stepan
Thompson
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
20
3
Stepan
Thompson
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
7
13
Stepan
Thompson
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
10
15
Stepan
Thompson
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
54.1% (5,812)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.8% (135)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
47.9% (1,381)
-3.7%
On even strength, Thompson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Stepan
Thompson
Home
47.6% (6,608)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Stepan
Thompson
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
45.6%
52.9%
P3
46.8%
52.8%
OT
40.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |