Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Thompson 53.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 72.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 94.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 86.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Stepan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Stepan
Thompson
Last 5: Stepan 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
0
Stepan
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
54.5% (628)
-7.7%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
47.4% (19)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
51.3% (113)
-3.0%
On even strength, Thompson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Thompson is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Stepan
Thompson
Home
48.6% (666)
55.6% (329)
Away
46.1% (710)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Stepan
Thompson
P1
46.3%
55.3%
P2
50.7%
48.1%
P3
45.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |