Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Petan 45.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Stepan
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stepan
Petan
Last 6: Stepan 3-3 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Petan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Petan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
45.4% (416)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
34.6% (26)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
0.0% (1)
+44.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Stepan
Petan
Home
47.6% (6,608)
42.3% (196)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
46.6% (247)
By Period
Stepan
Petan
P1
47.5%
51.9%
P2
45.6%
45.0%
P3
46.8%
35.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Petan |