Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +25.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Petan 43.8% (+25.5%)
Offensive zone
Petan 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Stepan
Petan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
31.6% (38)
+22.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
25.0% (8)
-25.0%
On power play, Petan has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Petan is 17.6% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Stepan
Petan
Home
54.5% (222)
25.0% (32)
Away
57.2% (222)
42.9% (14)
By Period
Stepan
Petan
P1
57.5%
37.5%
P2
54.7%
33.3%
P3
55.9%
16.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
30.4%