Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Petan 47.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 55.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Stepan
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stepan
Petan
Last 6: Stepan 3-3 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Petan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Petan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
46.5% (299)
+1.7%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
40.0% (15)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
0.0% (1)
+37.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Petan is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Stepan
Petan
Home
46.4% (774)
45.8% (131)
Away
47.7% (748)
46.2% (184)
By Period
Stepan
Petan
P1
46.7%
52.6%
P2
46.3%
46.2%
P3
48.1%
37.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Petan |