Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Patrick 48.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 72.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 52.1%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Stepan
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Stepan
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
47.4% (156)
+7.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.3% (16)
-56.3%
On power play, Patrick has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Patrick is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Stepan
Patrick
Home
54.5% (222)
43.8% (96)
Away
57.2% (222)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Stepan
Patrick
P1
57.5%
44.4%
P2
54.7%
45.6%
P3
55.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |