Derek Stepan vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 62 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 106-57 in 163 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 97.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 97.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 97.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 97.6%
97.6%
2.4%
Stepan
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
106
(163 meetings)
57
106
Stepan
Bergeron
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
21
21
Stepan
Bergeron
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
18
44
Stepan
Bergeron
62 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
18
41
Stepan
Bergeron
59 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
60.1% (13,938)
-13.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
60.8% (3,213)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
53.0% (2,776)
-8.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bergeron
Home
47.6% (6,608)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Stepan
Bergeron
P1
47.5%
59.3%
P2
45.6%
60.0%
P3
46.8%
58.6%
OT
40.7%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |