Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 87.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 89.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 93.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Stepan
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Stepan
Bergeron
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
6
Stepan
Bergeron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Stepan
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
61.6% (1,186)
-16.7%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
52.2% (201)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
54.6% (240)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Stepan is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Stepan shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bergeron
Home
45.6% (463)
61.7% (828)
Away
43.3% (404)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Stepan
Bergeron
P1
50.2%
58.5%
P2
39.4%
61.8%
P3
45.7%
57.8%
OT
38.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 01:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |