Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 84.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 84.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Stepan
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stepan
Bergeron
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
6
Stepan
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Stepan
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
62.6% (660)
-14.6%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
59.8% (97)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
61.4% (127)
-19.8%
On power play, Bergeron has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Stepan is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Stepan shoots right. Bergeron is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bergeron
Home
47.4% (460)
67.0% (443)
Away
44.5% (517)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Stepan
Bergeron
P1
50.3%
63.7%
P2
38.4%
60.0%
P3
49.4%
63.2%
OT
27.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | OT | 00:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |