Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 89.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 82.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 92.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Stepan
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stepan
Bergeron
Last 6: Stepan 5-1 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
0
Stepan
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
58.4% (972)
-11.4%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
53.4% (221)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
56.0% (175)
-8.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Bergeron is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bergeron
Home
48.2% (761)
59.0% (712)
Away
47.3% (789)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Stepan
Bergeron
P1
46.3%
59.1%
P2
50.4%
60.2%
P3
46.3%
53.0%
OT
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |