Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Elias 46.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 59.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.5%
Neutral zone
Elias 52.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Stepan
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stepan
Elias
Last 6: Stepan 1-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
3
Stepan
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Stepan
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
40.0% (100)
+8.0%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
53.1% (49)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
35.7% (14)
+5.9%
On power play, Elias has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Stepan
Elias
Home
47.4% (460)
46.2% (78)
Away
44.5% (517)
41.2% (85)
By Period
Stepan
Elias
P1
50.3%
44.0%
P2
38.4%
50.0%
P3
49.4%
36.4%
OT
27.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |