Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Elias 42.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 31-19 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 77.3%
Defensive zone
Elias 77.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 75.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Stepan
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
31
(50 meetings)
19
31
Stepan
Elias
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Stepan
Elias
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
4
11
Stepan
Elias
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
8
13
Stepan
Elias
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
42.3% (2,591)
+4.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
48.4% (405)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
36.0% (367)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Stepan
Elias
Home
47.6% (6,608)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Stepan
Elias
P1
47.5%
41.1%
P2
45.6%
43.1%
P3
46.8%
43.0%
OT
40.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 7, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |