Derek Stepan vs Paul Gaustad

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Paul Gaustad holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stepan 46.6% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor Gaustad leads 24-12 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone Stepan 94.5%
Defensive zone Stepan 59.2%
Neutral zone Stepan 90.0%
Result Derek Stepan favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Stepan Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
12 - 24 (36 meetings)
12
24
Stepan Gaustad
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Gaustad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
2
Stepan Gaustad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
14
Stepan Gaustad
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
8
Stepan Gaustad
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stepan
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
58.2% (4,334)
-11.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
65.4% (188)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
54.8% (1,290)
-10.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +16.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Stepan
Gaustad
Home
47.6% (6,608)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Stepan
Gaustad
P1
47.5%
58.2%
P2
45.6%
56.4%
P3
46.8%
58.3%
OT
40.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%
55.5%
46.5%
Gaustad
44.0%
51.0%
57.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 28, 2015 3 15:57 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 28, 2015 2 09:45 Offensive Derek Stepan
Dec 28, 2015 2 06:36 Offensive Derek Stepan
Dec 28, 2015 1 06:05 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Nov 23, 2015 3 05:36 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Mar 2, 2015 2 15:39 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Mar 2, 2015 2 05:24 Offensive Derek Stepan
Mar 2, 2015 1 17:25 Offensive Derek Stepan
Dec 10, 2013 3 18:24 Offensive Derek Stepan
Dec 10, 2013 3 16:08 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 3 12:53 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 3 12:49 Offensive Derek Stepan
Dec 10, 2013 3 06:21 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 3 05:30 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 2 13:47 Neutral Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 1 11:57 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 1 10:59 Offensive Derek Stepan
Dec 10, 2013 1 10:54 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 1 08:36 Defensive Paul Gaustad
Dec 10, 2013 1 01:54 Offensive Derek Stepan