Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Danault 52.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 70.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 57.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Stepan
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Stepan
Danault
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
6
Stepan
Danault
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
55.1% (720)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
50.0% (20)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
41.3% (167)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Stepan shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Stepan
Danault
Home
46.0% (113)
54.5% (442)
Away
53.1% (147)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Stepan
Danault
P1
48.5%
53.8%
P2
49.4%
54.2%
P3
52.6%
49.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |