Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Danault 53.3% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Danault 54.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Stepan
Danault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
54.0% (985)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.1% (131)
-61.1%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
43.8% (146)
+20.9%
On power play, Danault has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Stepan
Danault
Home
54.5% (222)
54.7% (636)
Away
57.2% (222)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Stepan
Danault
P1
57.5%
54.1%
P2
54.7%
54.3%
P3
55.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%