Derek Stepan vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bellemare on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Bellemare 51.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.6%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 60.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.9%
Result
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Stepan
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stepan
Bellemare
Last 7: Stepan 3-4 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Bellemare
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
2
Stepan
Bellemare
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
2
Stepan
Bellemare
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
53.8% (695)
+0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
46.2% (13)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
45.4% (227)
+19.3%
On power play, Bellemare has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Bellemare is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bellemare
Home
54.5% (222)
52.1% (449)
Away
57.2% (222)
51.2% (486)
By Period
Stepan
Bellemare
P1
57.5%
54.5%
P2
54.7%
50.9%
P3
55.9%
49.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |