Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Rakell 48.0% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 72.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 84.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Stepan
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
45.3% (75)
+9.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On power play, Rakell has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Rakell is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Stepan
Rakell
Home
54.5% (222)
45.7% (46)
Away
57.2% (222)
45.5% (33)
By Period
Stepan
Rakell
P1
57.5%
33.3%
P2
54.7%
40.0%
P3
55.9%
63.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
45.6%