Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.1%). Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Schremp 46.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Stepan
Schremp
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stepan
Schremp
Last 6: Stepan 4-2 Schremp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
0
Stepan
Schremp
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schremp
0
1
Stepan
Schremp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schremp
0
1
Stepan
Schremp
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Schremp
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
46.8% (410)
-0.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
44.9% (69)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
25.0% (4)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schremp shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Schremp is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stepan
Schremp
Home
47.6% (6,608)
48.3% (238)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
44.0% (248)
By Period
Stepan
Schremp
P1
47.5%
54.1%
P2
45.6%
44.1%
P3
46.8%
41.5%
OT
40.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Schremp
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Rob Schremp |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |