Derek Stepan vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 74.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 81.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 71.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
5
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
52.1% (351)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
57.1% (14)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
35.9% (39)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.4% (560)
50.0% (198)
Away
45.1% (637)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.4%
52.1%
P2
47.0%
48.8%
P3
48.1%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | OT | 01:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |