Derek Stepan vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 45-41 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
45
(86 meetings)
41
45
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
12
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
17
11
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
13
22
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
44.9% (8,756)
+1.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.7% (839)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
37.9% (879)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.6% (6,608)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Stepan
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.5%
45.1%
P2
45.6%
43.9%
P3
46.8%
45.3%
OT
40.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | OT | 01:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |